Saturday, May 31, 2008

Primary Season Just About Over

It was interesting to watch the DNC rules committee decide on how to apportion the delegates from Michigan and Florida today. It was a compromise that did not and will never satisfy everyone of course but it was refreshing to see the party leaders stick to the idea that there are rules that have to be followed to avoid chaos.

I never would have guessed that Barack Obama may reach the magic 2118 delegates he needs to be the Democratic nominee for President in the last primary in the last best place - the Great State of Montana. (I'm a little biased on Montana).

Exactly when Barack Obama becomes the official nominee depends on when the Super Delegates announce their support for him. He needs about 50 delegates after Puerto Rico, but Montana and South Dakota only have 31 delegates combined...so assuming he gets half the delegates from Montana and South Dakota, he needs 35 of the 178 uncommitted super D's to throw him their support. Hillary Clinton would need over 90% of the remaining super delegates to back her in order to win...which ain't gonna happen.

So if 35 super D's announce their support for Barack before Tuesday he could announce that he is the winner based on the results of the Montana primary. He'll be in St Paul, the site of the Republican National Convention that night - in effect saying to the party of power and wealth, "bring it on."

Another historical date is, and will be, in August when the Democratic National Convention is held in Denver (Aug 25-28th). Dr. Martin Luther King gave his famous "I Have a Dream" speech to 250,000 people in Washington D.C. on August 28, 1963. Forty five years to the day later - Barack Obama will gives his acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention on his way to becoming the next President of the U.S.